Brief
/intel?view=briefingWhat it answers
The desk's editorial briefing for the day — 8 to 12 key events organized into thematic arcs, with their importance, their metrics, the Polymarket probabilities attached, and a way through to the rest of the workspace. The brief is a hub: every tile opens either a live thesis, another Intel view, or a Polymarket market. Read it as an editorial position too — the order, the arcs and the metrics pushed forward are the desk's framing for the day, not a neutral news feed.
When to open it
- At the open, to set your read for the day: what dominates, what has moved since yesterday, what is still waiting on a catalyst.
- To place what's brewing around a live geopolitical area: the arcs (Iran · Hormuz, Russia · Ukraine, Trump · Xi Beijing, …) gather the military event, the official statement, the Polymarket repricing and the market tape in one place.
- To jump from a metric to the view behind it — a PM repricing opens the tracked thesis, a macro figure sends you to the matrix, a WTI close to Markets.
Anatomy
Three bands. At the top, the hero: date, delta versus yesterday, the day's headline (composed from the dominant arcs), then four clickable tiles pointing at the main arcs. Just below, the pulse: a row of cross-asset chips (WTI, gold, S&P, DXY…) and the day's UTC event clock. Below that, the body in two columns: the chapter rail on the left (side navigation, highlighted to track what's on screen) and the chapters on the right, one per arc, each with its lead event larger and the sub-events underneath.
How to read it
The hero
| Element | How to read it |
|---|---|
Daily briefing · Friday, May 15, 2026 | The date the brief was published. |
+N events vs yesterday · +N critical / +N HIGH | The volume delta against the previous brief — not a judgment of quality, just the pressure of the news flow. A denser brief than yesterday usually signals a cycle accelerating. |
| The day's headline | A sentence composed from the two heaviest arcs. It gives you the desk's editorial read in two fragments — worth skimming before you read a single chapter. |
| 01 / 02 / 03 / 04 tiles | The four dominant arcs. Each tile shows the arc's label, its event count, and a pulse: the arc's most telling metric or PM probability (81% PM, 94%, +6.35pp, …). Click to jump to the matching chapter. |
The pulse — cross-asset strip + clock
| Element | How to read it |
|---|---|
| Market chips | Each chip: symbol (WTI, GOLD, S&P, DXY, VIX, …), closing value, signed change, and a directional micro-sparkline (green if the change is positive, red otherwise). The strip is pulled from the brief's markets events — it's the close as the desk wrote it, not a live tick. |
Today + UTC clock | Up to four dated appointments taken from the economic events (CPI, FOMC, NFP, BoE…). Each line: UTC time + short label. Reads as the day's macro agenda, on a second pass. |
The chapter rail
To the left of the body, a side nav listing every arc in the order they appear. The chapter you're reading is highlighted — the index follows your scroll position automatically. Click an item to jump straight to that chapter, without touching anything else.
A chapter (an arc)
| Element | How to read it |
|---|---|
| Number 01 / 02 / … | Position in the brief, ordered by weighted importance (the sum of CRITICAL > HIGH > MEDIUM weights). |
| Arc label | A short line written by the desk to gather events that tell one story together — Iran · Hormuz, Russia · Ukraine, Fed transition, Markets. Not an automatic category: it's the desk's narrative read. |
| Event counter | How many events are in the arc. |
| Lead event | The arc's most important, shown large. It carries the central story: headline + background paragraph, plus the aside (metric, PM, link). |
| Sub-events | The arc's secondary events, more compact. Same structure: colored left edge, headline, summary, aside. |
The importance edge
Every event carries a vertical edge on its left whose color encodes importance.
| Edge | How to read it |
|---|---|
| CRITICAL | A major event — a regime flip, a strike, a surprise resolution. Always few in number. |
| HIGH | A structuring move to fold into the day's read. The bulk of the brief. |
| MEDIUM | Detail that completes an arc — useful in context, not standalone. |
Importance has no explicit chip: you read it off the block's size (lead versus sub-event) and the edge's color. The hierarchy is typographic, not labeled.
An event's aside
To the right of the headline and summary, when there's material for it, a block with one or more of the following.
| Element | How to read it |
|---|---|
| Metric | A measure the desk wants to put forward — a label (Fed policy rate, CENTCOM tanker obs 24h, WTI Crude close), a value (3.50-3.75%, 199, $97.72), and a signed change (-40% vs prior 24h, -3.24%). The change carries the color (green/red) and the matching micro-sparkline. |
| Polymarket dial | A probability circle: the percentage large, and a label — tracked PM if the market is tied to an open Market thesis of the desk's, PM otherwise. On a tracked dial, clicking opens the thesis directly. On an untracked PM dial that still carries a Polymarket slug, clicking opens the Markets view. With no slug, the dial is purely informational. |
→ view link | A button through to another Intel view — → macro, → markets, → convergence, → news, … The label names the view that continues the event. |
Controls
| Gesture | Effect |
|---|---|
| Click a hero 01 / 02 / 03 / 04 tile | Jumps to the matching chapter, smooth scroll. |
| Click a rail item | Jumps to that chapter. The rail stays in sync with your scroll position as you read through. |
| Click a tracked PM dial | Opens the matching Market thesis in the Theses view (URL ?view=theses&thesis=…). |
| Click an untracked PM dial | Opens the Markets view. |
Click a → view link | Switches the Intel view, keeping the session context. |
Cross-check with other Hawkline features
- A tracked PM tile caught your eye: the full thesis on Theses gives you the call, the evidence, the log, the edge-captured gauge.
- A macro metric (CPI, policy rate, economic surprise) coming out of an economic event: Macro details the calendar surprises and the upcoming prints, currency by currency.
- A markets event (WTI, indices, FX): the Trend matrix tells you where the asset sits in its regime, and its recent history.
Keep in mind
- The brief is editorial and dated. It is published once a day; what you read at 4pm is what was written that morning, so events may have moved on. For live, switch to News, to Markets, or to the Monitor's Feed panel.
- The pulse chips are pulled from the text of the markets events — it's the closing photograph the analyst wrote, not a live tick. A brief published in the morning before the US open won't show that day's close.
- The
vs yesterdaydelta compares the number of events per importance bucket, not their content. A brief with one event fewer can be the more important one — what matters is the framing of the arcs, not the counter.