TDI

The world's operational pulse — ten event streams (military, vessels, earthquakes, cyber, news…), each measured against its own baseline. What prices an asset is never the background noise, it's the gap to normal. The TDI puts a number on that gap, stream by stream.

• So a sensational headline doesn't catch you out. An alarming headline about an earthquake, an air raid or a wave of cyberattacks can describe a perfectly ordinary Tuesday for the stream concerned. The TDI tells you immediately whether you're on noise or on a genuine break from baseline.
• When a safe-haven moves for no visible reason (gold, JPY, CHF, bonds). Check Flights, Conflict, Vessels before the wires: the operational tape can run ahead of the press.

Three stacked zones. At the top the snapshot summary (streams scanned, total divergences, critical / high badges). Below the history chart — one curve per stream over the chosen window, with the 1.5 / 2.0 / 3.0 thresholds drawn as dashed lines. At the bottom the stream list, sorted by severity descending: one row per stream, unfolding on click to reveal the stats against baseline and any regional alerts detected.

The header filters

The summary band

One line under the header.

The history chart

One curve per stream, Y axis = the absolute value of z over the chosen window. The Y axis is scaled to the 95th percentile so a single spike doesn't flatten everything else — above that, the curve saturates at the top of the panel.

Read it like a seismograph: a curve brushing or breaking z=2.0 means the stream is running outside normal for its day of the week; one hugging the floor means the day is well within range.

The stream list

One row per stream, sorted by status severity, then by |z| descending. The streams available today (UI labels, verbatim):

Row header (folded)

The WAIT (baseline still building), N/A (not enough samples) and OFF (no activity in the window) statuses signal a read that is not interpretable — not a calm signal.

Unfolded detail

When a baseline is available:

When the baseline is missing, the stats cell shows OBS and a short message instead — Insufficient baseline data (samples under the threshold) or N samples collected (still filling). At OFF, the row simply says No activity in window.

The Regional alerts block

Appears when the stream has regional divergences reported. One row per alert, sorted by severity then by z.

The snapshot refreshes automatically every 60 seconds.

• Flights, Conflict or Vessels at CRIT on a region: Monitor to see it directly on the map with the operational layers.
• A wave on GDELT or Cyber: News to pick up the narrative carrying the divergence and check the quality of the sources.
• Several streams moving together over one area: Brief to see whether the desk already publishes a read, or Markets for the adjacent Polymarket markets.
• A persistent Outages or Airports reading: that's a country's operational stress indicator, worth having before a trade on its currency via FX.

• This measures a gap, not a direction. A high z says something unusual is happening — not that it's good or bad for an asset. The direction of the trade still has to be built alongside, using the other Hawkline features.
• Seasonal versus non-seasonal baselines. Human streams (Flights, Conflict, Vessels, GDELT, Cyber, Airports) are measured against the same day of the week — fewer flights on a Sunday is normal. Physical streams (Seismic, Fires, Outages, Natural) are measured against all days. Bear that in mind before comparing two streams by eye.
• A short baseline makes z volatile. On 14d, one extreme day distorts the whole statistic. If a reading looks wrong, check it against 90d before acting on it.